Bearman predicts driver market movement as 2026 pecking order takes shape

Oliver Bearman believes the Formula 1 driver market is set for significant movement before the end of the 2026 season, as rivals monitor the emerging pecking order and weigh their options for 2027.

With Formula 1 undergoing a major regulatory overhaul this season — encompassing sweeping changes to both power units and aerodynamic regulations — the competitive landscape is still being written. Five rounds in, a hierarchy has begun to crystallise, but upgrades arriving across the field mean the order remains far from settled.

No Timeline, No Pressure

For Bearman, now in his second campaign as a full-time F1 driver with Haas, the focus is firmly on the present. The Briton has long been regarded as a Ferrari academy product destined for a works seat, and that association remains the cornerstone of his long-term ambitions. But he is in no hurry to accelerate the timeline.

"For me of course I'm contracted to Ferrari, they've put trust in me since the very beginning, so it's natural that my ultimate target is to be with them," Bearman told Press Association. "At the moment the goal is to continue building with Haas, I'm super happy with the trajectory that we're on. So no timeline, no problems."

It is a measured, mature stance from a driver who clearly understands the importance of consolidating his development rather than chasing a high-profile seat prematurely. The relationship with Ferrari is intact, the progress at Haas is ongoing — and for now, that is enough.

The Grid Reshuffle That Could Define 2027

Beyond his own situation, Bearman sees the wider driver market as one of the defining storylines of the season's second half. A significant number of drivers are out of contract at the end of the campaign, and with 2026's new regulations giving teams fresh data points on relative performance, the decisions being made in the coming months will shape next year's grid considerably.

The question of where each car sits in the new-era pecking order is something drivers and managers alike are watching closely — and it is a dynamic that has caught the attention of those beyond Ferrari's own garage. As noted elsewhere, Kimi Räikkönen has already backed Kimi Antonelli to become the sport's youngest world champion, underlining just how much the new generation of talent is reshaping expectations across the paddock.

"I think the end of this year is important because a lot of people are having their contracts ending," Bearman said. "Everyone wanted to see how the pecking order was in 2026 and that will then determine what 2027 looks like."

It is a candid and perceptive read of the market. With the aerodynamic and power unit changes still being fully absorbed, the teams that emerge most competitive — and the drivers who thrive within them — will hold the strongest hand when negotiations begin in earnest. For Bearman, the goal is simply to make sure he is one of those drivers when the time comes.

No Timeline, No Pressure