Mexico City Grand Prix · News
How Mercedes can win the F1 constructors' title in Mexican Grand Prix
Mercedes leads Ferrari by 133 points and can seal the constructors’ crown in Mexico with a decisive result against its only remaining rival.
Mercedes arrives at the Mexico City Grand Prix with a chance to secure its ninth Formula 1 constructors’ championship. It leads Ferrari by 133 points, and needs to leave the event at least 172 points clear to clinch the title with five races still to run afterwards.
The fight for the teams’ crown runs alongside attention on Kimi Antonelli, who is poised to become the youngest F1 champion. For Mercedes, though, the Mexico City calculations are exact: it must extend its advantage by at least 39 points this weekend.
Mercedes needs a 39-point swing to clinch
There are 215 points available across the final five rounds, leaving Ferrari with a theoretical maximum of 689 if it scores five consecutive one-two finishes. That result has not occurred for Ferrari in more than two years, but Mercedes’ path to the title does not depend on the rival’s season-long maximum. It depends on the points gap after Mexico.
A Mercedes one-two would score 43 points. Ferrari would need to take four points or fewer for the championship to be decided at this race. A Mercedes first-and-third finish would bring 40 points, requiring Ferrari to score one point or less.
F1LivePulse has also followed Mercedes’ technical work and the team’s wider performance picture, as the championship approaches its decisive stage.
A win is essential, with both cars on the podium
Mercedes must put both cars on the podium, with one taking victory, to have any chance of sealing the title in Mexico. A second-and-third-place finish would yield 33 points, six short of the required 39-point gain over Ferrari.
That leaves two qualifying routes: first and second for Mercedes, paired with Ferrari scoring no more than four; or first and third, with Ferrari limited to a single point. Any other Mercedes result means the constructors’ championship will remain undecided until the São Paulo round.
The margin is substantial, but the target is clear. Mercedes can reclaim the crown it last won in 2021 if it delivers a front-running finish and Ferrari has a low-scoring race in Mexico.